Probability: A Treatise on Probability. A proposal to probability that was more subject to variation with evidence and proof
- ISBN-13: 9781548189280
- Publisher: CreateSpace Independent Publishing Platform
- Release Date: Jul 07, 2017
- Pages: 548 pages
- Dimensions: 1.37 x 9.0 x 6.0 inches
Overview
A Treatise on Probability was printed by John Maynard Keynes while at Cambridge University. The Treatise criticized the classical theory of probability and introduced a "logical-relationist" theory instead. Bertrand Russell, the co-author of Principia Mathematica, described it as "undoubtedly the most important work on probability that has emerged for a very long time," and a "book as a whole is one which it is impossible to praise too highly." The Treatise is primarily philosophical in nature notwithstanding extensive mathematical formulations. The Treatise presented a proposal to probability that was more subject to variation with evidence than the profoundly quantified standard version. Keynes's notion of probability is that it is a rigorously logical relation between proof and hypothesis, a degree of partial association. Keynes's Treatise is the definitive account of the reasonable interpretation of probabilistic logic, a view of probability that has been maintained by such later efforts as Carnap's Logical Foundations of Probability and E.T. Jaynes Probability Theory: The Logic of Science. Keynes saw numerical probabilities as special cases of probability, that did not have to be quantifiable or even comparable.
